Risk assessment of precipitation and the tourism climate index

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dc.contributor.authorOlya, Hossein G. T.
dc.contributor.authorAlipour, Habib
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-06T18:43:12Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.departmentDoğu Akdeniz Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThis study proposes a mathematical approach to a risk analysis of potential changes in the tourism climate nexus. The Information Diffusion Model (IDM) and Geographical Information Systems (GIS) were applied to the spatial risk analysis of excessive rainfall based on the Tourism Climate Index (TCI) for North Cyprus. The probability of excessive rainfall was calculated using the IDM. The data were then inserted into the TCI formula to estimate the risk analysis of tourism climate for each station on the island. The spatial pattern of climate-related risks to tourism prepared using geo-statistical techniques with GIS software, revealed that the northern borders of the island are exposed to a high levels of precipitation, with resulting adverse effects on tourism. Risk assessments of the tourism climate, spatial-temporal analyses using the TCI, and climate insurance are suggested as adaptive strategies to address seasonality issues. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.tourman.2015.01.010
dc.identifier.endpage80
dc.identifier.issn0261-5177
dc.identifier.issn1879-3193
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0360-0744
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84922374345
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage73
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2015.01.010
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11129/13484
dc.identifier.volume50
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000355769500010
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier Sci Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofTourism Management
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20260204
dc.subjectMathematical approach
dc.subjectGIS
dc.subjectSpatial pattern
dc.subjectGeo-statistical technique
dc.subjectNorth Cyprus
dc.titleRisk assessment of precipitation and the tourism climate index
dc.typeArticle

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