A knowledge-based self-pre-diagnosis system to predict Covid-19 in smartphone users using personal data and observed symptoms

Abstract

Covid-19 is an acute respiratory infection and presents various clinical features ranging from no symptoms to severe pneumonia and death. Medical expert systems, especially in diagnosis and monitoring stages, can give positive consequences in the struggle against Covid-19. In this study, a rule-based expert system is designed as a predictive tool in self-pre-diagnosis of Covid-19. The potential users are smartphone users, healthcare experts and government health authorities. The system does not only share the data gathered from the users with experts, but also analyzes the symptom data as a diagnostic assistant to predict possible Covid-19 risk. To do this, a user needs to fill out a patient examination card that conducts an online Covid-19 diagnostic test, to receive an unconfirmed online test prediction result and a set of precautionary and supportive action suggestions. The system was tested for 169 positive cases. The results produced by the system were compared with the real PCR test results for the same cases. For patients with certain symptomatic findings, there was no significant difference found between the results of the system and the confirmed test results with PCR test. Furthermore, a set of suitable suggestions produced by the system were compared with the written suggestions of a collaborated health expert. The suggestions deduced and the written suggestions of the health expert were similar and the system suggestions in line with suggestions of the expert. The system can be suitable for diagnosing and monitoring of positive cases in the areas other than clinics and hospitals during the Covid-19 pandemic. The results of the case studies are promising, and it demonstrates the applicability, effectiveness, and efficiency of the proposed approach in all communities.